Tuesday, January 29, 2019

THE DANGERS OF BIAS


More and more, I am coming to think that bias in academic scholarship is exactly like what happens in prosecutorial misconduct in criminal law. One element of that misconduct is confirmation bias. Not only is confirmation bias a problem in most academic fields, but scholarly reactions, when you point out the bias, are just like those of prosecutors who have been told that they have wrongly tried and convicted a defendant. Just mention the possibility of bias, and prosecutors and academics alike become defensive and hostile. Even when a court orders a wrongly convicted person to be released, many prosecutors will not apologize or support compensation for someone who has spent years on death row.

Things are changing in criminal law. There are many books and articles on confirmation bias and other problems that lead to the convictions of innocent people. It is at this point a well recognized phenomenon. That is partly because of the serious consequences of prosecutorial misconduct. Innocent people are in danger of being executed or living the rest of their lives in prison. So people are willing to pay attention.

In general, in most areas of academia, the consequences of bad scholarship are not as dire. Even if there is some connection between lies told about history, for example, and lethal results for certain people, the connection is way down the road. It is hard to prove a direct connection. That is probably the main reason it is so hard to make corrections in many areas of scholarship. The failure to do anything and to admit any wrongdoing does not seem so terrible.

There does not seem to be any great problem, like potential loss of life, that would motivate academics to take a closer look at themselves. In fact, it appears to me that most scholars think there is no harm in a little lying about the evidence, especially if it’s in a good cause. So what if we say Darwin was a great humanitarian and we hide the fact that there is so much racism in his work, as in his dividing the human family into a hierarchy of races? Where’s the harm? We are promoting good antiracist ideas and we’re telling some white lies about Darwin’s participation in this cause. We are not hurting anyone.

But lies about history always have bad ramifications. They teach us to adopt fraudulent methods of research and logic to support the lies. The lies hide how easy it is to let racism slip into a system and distort the evidence. There may be no immediate bad effects, but the long-range consequences can be devastating. Just think of how Darwin naturalized and normalized genocide, and tell me no harm was intended or resulted. The harm of proclaiming that the extermination of lower races is inevitable and natural—nothing immoral about it—has been tremendous. Too many scientists still think of western civilization as the winning civilization and attribute its success to evolution; they think the west is the endpoint of human evolution.

Just try raising any of this with scholars. Like criminal prosecutors who are convinced they can do no wrong, they will get angry, defensive, hostile. It is impossible to have a rational conversation about any of this. Scholars, especially of history and especially of the history of science, will not readily admit that they suffer from confirmation bias or any other kind. Once, it was that way in criminal law too. Neither the public nor prosecutors were open to considering how bias leads to wrongful convictions. That has been changing for a while now. Whatever it is that led to improvements in criminal law, concerning the study of bias in investigations, we could use a strong dose of that in the rest of academia.

© 2019 Leon Zitzer